Sector Watch-Chemicals (CEX)
Monday, October 30th, 2006Chemicals (CEX)
Bullish
Sector trading above its…
20-day Moving Average: YES
50-day Moving Average: YES
100-day Moving Average: YES
Sentiment:Analyst rankings on the sector indicate 43 percent “buys” or higher, while the sector’s composite SOIR has pushed into pessimistic territory at a 54 percentile ranking. Short interest continues its huge unwinding. An overall bearish bias remains in the picture, a positive for the sector.
Outlook: The CBOE S&P Chemicals Index hit a 19-month high last week, overcoming (at least for the time being) potential double-top resistance at its May high. Expect that continued weakness in crude oil prices due to relaxing seasonal demand will help fuel CEX strength. With some pessimism evident among options players and fundamentals strengthening, we expect the sector to continue pushing higher.