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Insider's Undervalued Candidate

JNPR —Undervalued Stock—

Wednesday, January 23rd, 2008

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Juniper Networks, Inc. engages in the design, development, and sale of assured Internet Protocol (IP) secure networking solutions primarily in Americas; Europe, Middle East, and Africa; and Asia Pacific. Its solutions are incorporated into the global Web of interconnected public and private networks across various media, including voice, video and data, and travel. The company’s network infrastructure solutions enable service providers and other network-intensive businesses to support and deliver services and applications on an integrated network. Its infrastructure product family consists of M-Series and T-Series, and E-Series products. The company’s service layer technologies (SLT) provide network security solutions; and enable customers to provide additional IP-based services and enhance the performance and security of their existing networks and applications. The SLT product family comprises firewall and VPN systems; firewall and VPN appliances; SSL VPN appliances; IDP appliances; application acceleration platforms; unified access control; and AAA and 802.1X products. In addition, the company offers technical assistance, hardware repair and replacement parts, unspecified software updates, and professional and educational services. Its customers include service providers, such as wireline, wireless, and cable operators, as well as Internet content providers; enterprises; governments; and research and education institutions.

—— Juniper Networks, Inc. (JNPR) —–
If you think that the company won’t fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on JNPR.

After hitting a one-year high of $37.95 in October/2007, JNPR has declined over the past month. JNPR opened this morning at $24.5. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24 and a high of $25. The chart for JNPR looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a 3 STARS (hold) rating,

JNPR has a current Value of $30.74 per share

Value: Value is a measure of a stock’s current worth. JNPR has a current Value of $30.74 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $25.61 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock’s Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. JNPR has an RV of 1.45, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks. VectorVest favors the purchase of stocks with RV ratings above 1.00.

jnpr1.png

To be Continued….
(Meanwhile, here is a link to see my past articles of some good picks:)
http://www.mystockwinners.com/comments-on-iag/

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Friday, November 9th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock Candidate ==========

———- Smithfield Foods, Inc. (NYSE: SFD) ———

Insider Name: Larry C. Pope
Insider Position: President and CEO
Insider Action: 10,000 shrs on 10/5/2007
Insider Total Holding: 301,153 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 16.7 (Industry Average 41.9)
P/S Ratio = 0.32 (Industry Average 0.70)
P/B Ratio = 1.39 (Industry Average 2.19)
P/CF Ratio = 10.3 (Industry Average 10.70)

Industry: Meat Products

———- Smithfield Foods, Inc. (NYSE: SFD) ———
Smithfield Foods, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in production of hog, and processing of pork and beef worldwide. The company offers fresh pork products, including unprocessed and trimmed cuts, such as loins, picnics, and ribs; and packaged meats products, such as smoked and boiled hams, bacon, sausage, hot dogs, deli and luncheon meats, pepperoni, dry meat products, and ready-to-eat foods. It also offers beef products, which comprise boxed beef and ground beef. Smithfield Foods also involves in turkey production and hatchery operations. The company sells its products to supermarket chains; wholesale distributors; export markets; other further processors; foodservice industry, such as fast food, restaurant, and hotel chains; hospitals; and other institutional customers. Smithfield Foods markets its products through its sales force and through independent commission brokers. The company was founded in 1961 and is based in Smithfield, Virginia.

Date Insider Shares Type Transaction Value*
12-Oct-07 POPE C LARRY
Officer 10,000 Direct Purchase at $29.30 - $29.31 per share. $293,0002
1-Oct-07 LUTER JOSEPH W IV
Officer 36,400 Direct Option Exercise at $13.22 per share. $481,208
1-Oct-07 LUTER JOSEPH W IV
Officer 36,400 Direct Sale at $32 - $32.17 per share. $1,168,0002
25-Sep-07 FRIBOURG PAUL J
Director 60,000 Indirect Purchase at $29.97 per share. $1,798,200
24-Sep-07 FRIBOURG PAUL J
Director 50,000 Indirect Purchase at $29.94 per share. $1,497,000
21-Sep-07 FRIBOURG PAUL J
Director 150,000 Indirect Purchase at $30.05 - $30.06 per share. $4,508,0002
20-Sep-07 FRIBOURG PAUL J
Director 165,000 Indirect Purchase at $29.72 - $29.86 per share. $4,915,0002
18-Sep-07 LUTER JOSEPH W IV
Officer 3,600 Direct Option Exercise at $13.22 per share. $47,592
18-Sep-07 LUTER JOSEPH W IV
Officer 3,600 Direct Sale at $33 per share. $118,800
29-Aug-07 TRIBLE PAUL S JR
Director N/A Direct Statement of Ownership N/A
1-Aug-07 SULLIVAN KENNETH M
Officer 135 Indirect Statement of Ownership N/A
11-Jul-07 WRIGHT MELVIN O
Director 1,500 Direct Sale at $29.93 - $29.95 per share. $45,0002

To be Continued….
(Meanwhile, here is a link to see my past articles of some good picks:)
http://www.mystockwinners.com/weekly-pick-intv/

chart.png

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Tuesday, September 25th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #2 ==========

——— Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MER) ———

Insider Name: Armando M. Codina
Insider Position: President & CEO
Insider Action: 5,760 shrs on 7/25/2007
Insider Total Holding: 13,357 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 7.5 (Industry Average 11.4)
P/S Ratio = 0.81 (Industry Average 1.42)
P/CF Ratio = 8.40 (Industry Average 9.70)

Industry: National Investment Brokerage

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 1.8%

——— Merrill Lynch & Co. Inc. (NYSE: MER) ———

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Thursday, September 13th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

————– HIMX ————–

Insider Position: Director and CEO
Insider Action: 29,100 shrs on 8/24/2007
Insider Total Holding: 155,200 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 10.1 (Industry Average 41.6)
P/S Ratio = 0.34 (Industry Average 1.15)
P/B Ratio = 2.23 (Industry Average 5.21)
P/CF Ratio = 7.30 (Industry Average 18.50)

Industry: Semi conductor

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 0.9%

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Thursday, August 30th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

—— American Financial Group, Inc. (NYSE: AFG) ——

Insider Name: Carl H Lindner
Insider Position: Chairman & CEO
Insider Action: 100,000 shrs on 8/20/2007
Insider Total Holding: 8,800,395 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 8.8 (Industry Average 10.5)
P/S Ratio = 0.79 (Industry Average 1.40)
P/B Ratio = 1.19 (Industry Average 1.50)
P/CF Ratio = 5.60 (Industry Average 9.4)

Industry: Property & Casualty Insurance

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 1.40%
Exceeded Analysts’ Earnings Estimates for Past 5
Quarters
Currently Under Share Repurchase Program
afg.png

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Monday, August 27th, 2007

——— Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) ———

Insider Name: Aubrey K. McClendon
Insider Position: Chairman & CEO
Insider Action: 100,000 shrs on 8/10/2007
Insider Total Holding: 28,056,318 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 9.1 (Industry Average 15.0)
P/S Ratio = 2.07 (Industry Average 3.20)
P/B Ratio = 1.59 (Industry Average 2.52)
P/CF Ratio = 4.6 (Industry Average 11.6)

Industry: Independent Oil & Gas

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 0.70%
Exceeded Analysts’ Earnings Estimates for Past 5
Quarters

——————————————————-
Other Drawback…

Recent Analyst Downgrade

——— Chesapeake Energy Corp. (NYSE: CHK) ———
chk.png

Insider’s Undervalued Candidates

Friday, April 20th, 2007

————– DYNEGY INC CL A NEW (NYSE: DYN) ————–

Insider Name: Eileen K. Murray
Insider Position: Head of Global Ops
Insider Action: 47,000 shrs on 4/13/2007
Insider Total Holding: 297,040 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 10.0 (Industry Average 12.8)
P/S Ratio = 1.01 (Industry Average 1.58)
P/B Ratio = 2.31 (Industry Average 2.51)
P/CF Ratio = 8.90 (Industry Average 10.50)

Industry: National Investment Brokerage

z1.png

========= Undervalued Stock #2 ==========

————— Alltel Corp. (NYSE: AT) —————

Insider Name: Ronald Townsend
Insider Position: Director
Insider Action: 2,200 shrs on 4/10/2007
Insider Total Holding: 4,492 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/S Ratio = 2.83 (Industry Average 2.88)
P/B Ratio = 1.78 (Industry Average 2.14)

Industry: Domestic Telecom Services

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 0.70%
Exceeded Analysts’ Estimates for Past 5 Quarters

————— Alltel Corp. (NYSE: AT) —————

Time to buy SNDK

Tuesday, March 6th, 2007

Business: Sandisk Corp, (SNDK) designs, makes and sells solid-state data, digital imaging and audio storage products using proprietary high density flash memory and controller technologies. Products are used in consumer electronics applications.

Value: Value is a measure of a stock’s current worth. SNDK has a current Value of $58.09 per share. Therefore, it is undervalued compared to its Price of $38.64 per share. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates. Value increases when earnings, earnings growth rate and profitability increase, and when interest and inflation rates decrease. VectorVest advocates the purchase of undervalued stocks. At some point in time, a stock’s Price and Value always will converge.

RV (Relative Value): RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. SNDK has an RV of 1.44, which is excellent on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk. RV solves the riddle of whether it is preferable to buy High growth, High P/E stocks, or Low growth, Low P/E stocks.

RS (Relative Safety): RS is an indicator of risk. SNDK has an RS rating of 1.30, which is very good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company’s financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors. A stock with an RS rating greater than 1.00 is safer and more predictable than the average stock in the VectorVest database.

Recommendation (REC): SNDK has a Buy recommendation.
sndk.png

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Monday, March 5th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

———— Teppco Partners LP (NYSE: TPP) ————

Insider Name: Edward J. Thompson
Insider Position: President and CEO
Insider Action: 2,000 shrs on 2/26/2007
Insider Total Holding: 10,000 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 25.2 (Industry Average 26.4)
P/S Ratio = 0.31 (Industry Average 2.84)
P/B Ratio = 2.29 (Industry Average 2.70)

Industry: Oil & Gas Pipelines

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 6.3%

———— Teppco Partners LP (NYSE: TPP) ————
tpp.png

Insider’s Undervalued Candidate

Friday, March 2nd, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

————– Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) ————–

Insider Name: Howard L. Carver
Insider Position: Director
Insider Action: 2,000 shrs on 2/14/2007
Insider Total Holding: 16,521 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 9.8 (Industry Average 16.8)
P/S Ratio = 0.84 (Industry Average 1.05)
P/B Ratio = 1.76 (Industry Average 2.94)

Industry: Health & Accident, Insurance

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 0.7%

————– Assurant Inc. (NYSE: AIZ) ————–
aiz.png

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Friday, February 9th, 2007

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

—— INTERVOICE INC (NasdaqGS:INTV) ——

Insider Purchases - Last 6 Months
Purchases 21,000 4
Sales N/A 0
Net Shares Purchased 21,000 4
Total Insider Shares Held 388.76K N/A
% Net Shares Purchased 5.7% N/A

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/S Ratio = 0.92 (Industry Average 2.92)

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 6.40%

Net Institutional Purchases - Prior Qtr to Latest Qtr
Net Shares Purchased 1,441,060
% Change in Institutional Shares Held 5.8%
intv.png

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Friday, January 12th, 2007

———– Curtiss-Wright Corp. (NYSE: CW) ———–

Insider Name: William B. Mitchell
Insider Position: Director
Insider Action: 2,624 shrs on 1/1/2007
Insider Total Holding: 25,052 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 21.0 (Industry Average 23.5)
P/S Ratio = 1.35 (Industry Average 1.72)
P/B Ratio = 2.31 (Industry Average 4.43)
P/CF Ratio = 12.80 (Industry Average 15.90)

Industry: Aerospace and Defense

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 0.60%
cw.png

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Monday, January 8th, 2007

———– INTERVOICE INC (NasdaqGS:INTV) ———–

Insider Name: Multiple
Date Insider Shares Type Transaction Value*
8-Nov-06 GOLDBERG KENNETH A
Officer 3,000 Direct Purchase at $6.20 per share. $18,600
8-Nov-06 GOLDBERG KENNETH A
Officer 3,000 Direct Purchase at $6.20 per share. $18,600
2-Nov-06 MILTON JAMES A
Officer 10,000 Indirect Purchase at $6.01 per share. $60,100
23-Oct-06 REED DONALD
Director 3,000 Direct Purchase at $6.30 per share. $18,900

Insider Position: Director and Officer
Insider Action: 25,000 shrs in recent 2 months
Insider Total Holding: 25,052 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 29.96 (Industry Average 50)
P/S Ratio = 1.35 (Industry Average 1.72)
P/B Ratio = 2.31 (Industry Average 4.43)
P/CF Ratio = 12.80 (Industry Average 15.90)

Industry: Technology

——————————————————-

========= Undervalued Stock #2 ==========

Wednesday, January 3rd, 2007

———– ConAgra Foods, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) ———–

Insider Name: David C. Myers
Insider Position: Vice President
Insider Action: 8,000 shrs on 12/21/2006
Insider Total Holding: 18,000 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/S Ratio = 1.18 (Industry Average 1.38)
P/B Ratio = 2.90 (Industry Average 4.63)

Industry: Major Diversfied Foods

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 2.70%

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Exceeded Analyst Earnings Estimates for Past 4 Quarters

———– ConAgra Foods, Inc. (NYSE: CAG) ———–

========= Undervalued Stock #1 ==========

Wednesday, January 3rd, 2007

————– Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) ————–

Insider Name: Roy J. Bostock
Insider Position: Director
Insider Action: 6,250 shrs on 12/15/2006
Insider Total Holding: 25,052 shrs

——————————————————-
Undervaluation Merits…

P/E Ratio = 11.5 (Industry Average 13.5)
P/S Ratio = 1.12 (Industry Average 3.63)

Industry: National Investment Brokerage

——————————————————-
Other Merits…

Dividend Yield = 1,30%

————– Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) ————–

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