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Juniper (JNPR) will up 50% in 2008

by Rick

Juniper is probably my favorite company in the networking equipment segment.

On Thursday, Juniper (NASDAQ: JNPR) reported its results for Q4 and fiscal 2007 that ended December 31, 2007. Q4 revenue was $809.2 million, up 36% y-o-y and 10% sequentially. GAAP net income was $122.9 million or $0.22 per share on a diluted basis, up 73% y-o-y and 44% sequentially.

For the fiscal year 2007, revenue was $2.84 billion, up 23%. GAAP net income was $360.8 million or $0.62 per share on a diluted basis, compared with a GAAP net loss of $1,001.4 million, or $1.76 per share for 2006. Its headcount increased by 218 employees to 5,879 compared to Cisco’s (CSCO) 63,050. I like the fact that the company grows without hiring ridiculous numbers of people.

Segment-wise, in 2007, infrastructure segment grew 24% to $1.8 billion, Service Layer Technologies [SLT] segment grew 20% to $574 million, and the services segment grew 24% to $509.1 million. In Q4, infrastructure revenue was $500 million, a strong growth of 42% y-o-y and 8% q-o-q, which was led by strong sales in the T, M, and MX series. SLT finally attained its profitability target with a profit of almost $8 million on product revenues. SLT revenue was $168.4 million, up 29% y-o-y and 19% q-o-q. Service revenue was $140.4 million, up 25% y-o-y and 9% q-o-q.

Region-wise, the Americas accounted for 47.5% of total revenue in Q4 versus 47% in Q3. EMEA accounted for 33.6% revenue, compared to 32.5% in Q3. Asia Pacific accounted for 18.9% revenue, lower than 20.5% in Q3. It had 54.6% share of the Taiwan carrier-class core router market in Q3 07, up from 45% last year.

The growing Internet traffic and the online video trend have seen Juniper, as well as Cisco doing well in 2007. According to a recent Synergy Research Group report, it gained 1.7% share in 3Q07 in the Carrier Ethernet market while Cisco’s share grew by only 0.6%. Although Cisco dominates the router market with 66% share and Juniper has just about 15%, it is nevertheless a significant gain for Juniper. In the core router market in which Juniper has 30% share and Cisco 60%, Juniper gained 16% compared to the last quarter. Wow!

Juniper is phasing out its DX product line over the next five years. There is also speculation that Juniper will soon be launching it’s first-ever enterprise Ethernet switch. Cisco leads in the enterprise Ethernet switch market with 71% market share, and ProCurve is second with 10%. Enterprise switching would be an important addition to its portfolio in order to become more competitive with Cisco.

For 2008, Juniper expects revenues between $3.4 and $3.55 billion with EPS between $1.08 and $1.13. For Q1, revenue is expected between $810 and $820 million, and EPS is expected to be between $0.24 and $0.25.

Its shares have increased about 30% in 2007. The company’s stock is currently trading around $27 and its market cap is around $14 billion. In the conference call, Chief Executive Scott Kriens seemed unfazed by economic slowdown citing that spending on strategic IT projects is not likely to be reduced.

jnpr2.png
Courtsey of S Mitra

Meanwhile, here is a link to see my past articles of some good picks:)
http://www.mystockwinners.com/comments-on-iag/


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